Episode 3 · Week 10 · preview
Zay Flowers scored 5.30. We had him at 17.04.
· 2:58
WEEK 9 graded▸ Flowers 5.30 · ours 17.04▸ Brown 14.06 · Jeanty 14.06
Zay Flowers · WR · BaltimoreWeek 9
17.04PTS
OURS
before kickoff
5.30FULL PPR
SCORED
final
−11.74PTS
GAP
under ours
A rookie quarterback's first start. When the quarterback changes, everything downstream changes.
| PLAYER | OURS | SCORED | GAP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zay FlowersWR | 17.04 | 5.30 | −11.74 |
Week 10, full PPR. On The Desk: Jeanty and Chase Brown are dead even. Start Brown. →
Show notes
Week 9 receipt: we had Zay Flowers at 17.04. He scored 5.30 as rookie Joe Fagnano made his first start.
Chase Brown (CIN) and Ashton Jeanty (LV): both 14.06. Fernando Mendoza makes his first career start for Las Vegas. Start Brown.
Omar Cooper Jr. (NYJ) 13.27, at home against Buffalo. Michael Wilson (ARI) is on injured reserve. Start Cooper.
Puka Nacua (LA) 21.58, our biggest receiver number: out. Sit him.
Zay Flowers (BAL) 14.03, with Jacoby Brissett starting Monday night: a flex, not a WR1.
Transcript2:58
Quick note before we start: this show is about fantasy football only. Nothing here is betting advice. Our calls are opinions, and our projections are estimates, not guarantees.
Last week, we had Zay Flowers at 17.04. He scored five point three zero. That one stays on the record.
This is The Receipts, from ProDraftStats. Every number here is full PPR, and went on the record Tuesday morning, before the first kickoff.
Here’s what that miss showed. Rookie Joe Fagnano, in his first NFL start, went ten of eighteen for sixty yards, with two interceptions. When the quarterback changes, everything downstream changes.
But Baltimore isn’t alone. The trade deadline closed Tuesday at four, Eastern, after our numbers went on the record. Las Vegas traded Kirk Cousins to Minnesota. Sunday against Seattle, rookie Fernando Mendoza, the first overall pick, makes his first career start.
So, Ashton Jeanty or Chase Brown. On our numbers, they’re dead even: 14.06 and 14.06. When it’s that close, the tiebreaker is the quarterback. Jeanty’s is making his first start. Brown’s is Joe Burrow, at home, Sunday night. Our call: start Chase Brown.
But quarterbacks aren’t all that broke after Tuesday morning. Arizona put Michael Wilson on injured reserve, with a fractured vertebra in his neck. Our thirteen point three zero for him won’t get played.
So if you were weighing Wilson against the Jets’ Omar Cooper Junior, the choice makes itself. Cooper is at 13.27, at home against Buffalo. Start Cooper.
The Rams lost their best receiver too. Sean McVay says Puka Nacua will be out for a good amount of time. Our number for him was 21.58, our biggest at receiver this week. Sit him.
Back to Baltimore. Jacoby Brissett is set to start Monday night against the Chargers, the Ravens’ fourth starting quarterback this season. Our number for Zay Flowers is 14.03. A veteran beats a rookie’s first start, but it’s their first game together. Start Flowers as a flex, not your number one.
That’s the receipt, and the rule. Our numbers don’t change after Tuesday morning. Your lineup can.
Jeanty or Chase Brown is one of this week’s Two-Minute Calls, our free start or sit game, at prodraftstats dot com slash call. Calls lock at kickoff.
Your call: who’s the toughest start or sit on your roster this week? Tell us in the comments. If this helped, give it a like, and follow The Receipts, so next week’s episode lands in your feed.
ProDraftStats opens in 2027. Projections are estimates, not guarantees.
Numbers written as spoken. Statuses as of Thu., Nov. 12; check before kickoff.
Earlier2 of 2
| # | DATE | EPISODE | LEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Justice Hill scored 18.20. We had him at 6.90.Week 9 · Thursday night | 0:47 | |
| 1 | Allgeier scored 36.10. We had him at 8.23.Week 9 · preview | 3:08 |