PRODRAFTSTATS™PRODRAFTSTATS™Week 8, Sunday afternoon: 12 games, 1:00 and 4:05/4:25 PM ET kickoffs, Nov. 1, 2026. Every number we sealed on Tuesday, graded against the box score. Sunday night has its own Final Whistle.
107 of our 192 Sunday-afternoon numbers landed within five points of what the player scored. 72 players beat our number by more than 1.5 points, 98 fell more than 1.5 short, and 22 finished inside that band. The middle player scored 1.84 under our number, so when we missed, we usually ran high. The biggest surprises ran the other way.
Tyler Allgeier, ARI RB: 36.10 against our 8.23. Eleven carries for 147 yards and a touchdown, five catches for 44 yards and another, in Arizona’s 33-30 win at Dallas. The widest gap on the whole slate.
Tee Higgins, CIN WR: 37.50 against our 14.85. Ten catches on 11 targets for 155 yards and two touchdowns. Joe Burrow threw for 462 yards and five touchdowns with three interceptions and ran one in: 39.48 against our 20.45. Ja’Marr Chase added 11 catches for 141 yards and a score, 31.10 against our 14.82, in Cincinnati’s 43-36 win over Tennessee.
Emmett Johnson, KC RB: 25.30 against our 5.14. Five catches for 128 yards and a touchdown. Adonai Mitchell, NYJ WR: 27.20 against our 8.01, on seven catches for 142 yards and a score.
Bijan Robinson, ATL RB: 7.60 against our 19.77. Nineteen carries for 76 yards, no catches, no touchdowns, in a 16-0 loss at Tampa Bay. Michael Penix Jr. threw four interceptions in that game and finished at −1.90 against our 16.45.
Jonathan Taylor, IND RB: 6.70 against our 19.02. Eight carries for 23 yards, four catches for 24, and a lost fumble in a 42-7 loss at Jacksonville. Jared Goff, DET QB: 9.04 against our 20.52, and Kenneth Walker III, KC RB: 12.40 against our 22.36.
Lamar Jackson, BAL QB: 0.00 against our 19.14. He threw one pass in Baltimore’s 36-10 loss at Buffalo. Tyler Huntley threw four passes for no yards and lost a fumble; Zay Flowers caught none of his five targets.
| Position | Players graded | Median gap (scored minus ours) |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 23 | −0.40 |
| RB | 51 | −1.97 |
| WR | 74 | −1.17 |
| TE | 44 | −2.46 |
| Player | Our sealed number | Box score | Full-PPR | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Allgeier (ARI RB) | 8.23 | 11 car, 147 yds, 1 TD; 5/5 rec-tgt, 44 yds, 1 TD | 36.10 | +27.87 |
| Tee Higgins (CIN WR) | 14.85 | 10/11 rec-tgt, 155 yds, 2 TD | 37.50 | +22.65 |
| Emmett Johnson (KC RB) | 5.14 | 1 car, 15 yds; 5/5 rec-tgt, 128 yds, 1 TD | 25.30 | +20.16 |
| Adonai Mitchell (NYJ WR) | 8.01 | 7/9 rec-tgt, 142 yds, 1 TD | 27.20 | +19.19 |
| Joe Burrow (CIN QB) | 20.45 | 38/48, 462 pass yds, 5 TD, 3 INT; 3 car, 10 yds, 1 TD | 39.48 | +19.03 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL QB) | 19.14 | 0/1, 0 pass yds, 0 TD, 0 INT | 0.00 | −19.14 |
| Michael Penix Jr. (ATL QB) | 16.45 | 8/24, 125 pass yds, 0 TD, 4 INT; 5 car, 11 yds | -1.90 | −18.35 |
| Tyler Huntley (BAL QB) | 15.45 | 2/4, 0 pass yds, 0 TD, 0 INT; 1 fumble lost | -2.00 | −17.45 |
| Zay Flowers (BAL WR) | 17.28 | 0/5 rec-tgt, 0 yds | 0.00 | −17.28 |
| Jacoby Brissett (ARI QB) | 16.90 | 10/23, 119 pass yds, 0 TD, 1 INT; 3 car, 7 yds | 3.46 | −13.44 |
Box-score stats, unofficial until the league’s final stat correction. Full-PPR: 1 point per catch, 0.1 per rushing or receiving yard, 0.04 per passing yard, 6 per rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 per passing touchdown, minus 2 per interception or lost fumble, 2 per two-point conversion. We computed each line from the box score and matched it against a second, independent box score.
Our numbers: the sealed NFL Week 8 table, frozen Tue 2026-10-27 9:07 AM ET, before the week’s first kickoff. Graded: every player on that table with a passing, rushing or receiving line in the 12 Sunday-afternoon games. Players who did not play are not graded. Box scores: ESPN game summaries and nflverse player stats, identical on every line graded.
Who carried your week: Allgeier, Higgins, or someone we missed? Tell us in the comments under our video on YouTube or reply on X.
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Not betting or lineup advice. Projections are estimates, not guarantees.
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