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<rss version="2.0" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"><channel><title>The Desk · ProDraftStats</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/</link><atom:link href="https://prodraftstats.com/blog/rss.xml" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><description>Fantasy football numbers, explained.</description><language>en-us</language><item><title>Jeanty and Chase Brown are dead even. Start Brown.</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/week-10-start-sit-jeanty-chase-brown/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/week-10-start-sit-jeanty-chase-brown/</guid><pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2026 19:55:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Preview, NFL Week 10: start/sit and movers. Chase Brown over Ashton Jeanty, Omar Cooper Jr. with Michael Wilson out, Zay Flowers as a flex, Puka Nacua out.</description></item><item><title>Justice Hill ran 65 yards past our number</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w9-jax-at-bal/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w9-jax-at-bal/</guid><pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2026 15:05:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 9 TNF: Jaguars 33, Ravens 10. Our sealed numbers for Hill, Flowers, Henry, Lawrence and Washington vs the box score.</description></item><item><title>D'Andre Swift ran in three and beat our number</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w8-chi-at-sea/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w8-chi-at-sea/</guid><pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:50:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 8 MNF: Bears 34, Seahawks 17. Our sealed numbers for Swift, Williams, Burden, Smith-Njigba and Darnold vs the box score.</description></item><item><title>Tyler Allgeier scored 36.10. We had him at 8.23.</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/week-8-fantasy-hits-and-misses/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/week-8-fantasy-hits-and-misses/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2026 15:05:00 +0000</pubDate><description>NFL Week 8 Sunday afternoon, graded: 107 of our 192 sealed full-PPR numbers landed within five points. Allgeier, Higgins and Burrow beat theirs; Bijan Robinson missed.</description></item><item><title>Jayden Daniels won, but missed our number</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w8-phi-at-wsh/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w8-phi-at-wsh/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2026 15:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 8 SNF: Commanders 27, Eagles 10. Our sealed numbers for Daniels, McKee, White, Barkley, Diggs and Goedert vs the box score.</description></item><item><title>Packers 27, Panthers 19: Golden, Bryce Young vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w8-car-at-gb/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w8-car-at-gb/</guid><pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2026 17:10:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 8 TNF: Packers 27, Panthers 19. Our sealed numbers for Bryce Young, Love, Jacobs, Hubbard, Watson and Golden vs the box score.</description></item><item><title>Panthers at Packers Week 8: Our Fantasy Numbers for TNF</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/panthers-packers-week-8-fantasy-preview/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/panthers-packers-week-8-fantasy-preview/</guid><pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2026 07:20:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Thursday Night Football, NFL Week 8: Panthers at Packers. Our sealed full-PPR numbers for Bryce Young, Jordan Love, Josh Jacobs, Hubbard, Watson and McMillan.</description></item><item><title>Cowboys 38, Eagles 21: Williams, Lamb vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-dal-at-phi/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-dal-at-phi/</guid><pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2026 07:20:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7 MNF: Cowboys 38, Eagles 21. Our sealed numbers for Javonte Williams, Lamb, Prescott, Pierce and Barkley vs the box score.</description></item><item><title>Week 7 Fantasy Projections vs Results: 60 Players Graded</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/week-7-fantasy-projections-vs-results/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/week-7-fantasy-projections-vs-results/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 21:30:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Week 7 receipts: our pre-kickoff numbers for 60 players against the box score. 32 beat our number, 28 fell short. Tony Pollard was our biggest miss (+26.44).</description></item><item><title>Seahawks 20, Chiefs 3: Smith-Njigba, Walker vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-kc-at-sea/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-kc-at-sea/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Seahawks 20, Chiefs 3. Our sealed numbers for Smith-Njigba, Walker, Mahomes, Emanuel Wilson and Darnold vs the box score.</description></item><item><title>Rams 35, Raiders 21: Bowers, Nacua vs Our Week 7 Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-la-at-lv/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-la-at-lv/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Rams 35, Raiders 21. Our sealed numbers for Bowers, Nacua, Kyren Williams, Jeanty and Stafford against the box score.</description></item><item><title>Lions 20, Packers 17: Gibbs, St. Brown vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-gb-at-det/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-gb-at-det/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Lions 20, Packers 17. Our sealed numbers for Gibbs, St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Goff and Jordan Love against the box score.</description></item><item><title>Broncos 30, Cardinals 16: McBride, Nix vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-den-at-ari/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-den-at-ari/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Broncos 30, Cardinals 16. Our sealed numbers for McBride, Bo Nix, RJ Harvey, Brissett and Michael Wilson against the box score.</description></item><item><title>Giants 27, Texans 21 (OT): Skattebo, Nabers vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-nyg-at-hou/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-nyg-at-hou/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Giants 27, Texans 21 in OT. Our sealed numbers for Skattebo, Nabers, Stroud, Nico Collins and Isaiah Likely vs the box score.</description></item><item><title>Bengals 35, Ravens 13: Burrow, Flowers vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-cin-at-bal/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-cin-at-bal/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Bengals 35, Ravens 13. Our sealed numbers for Burrow, Higgins, Flowers, Huntley and Derrick Henry against the box score.</description></item><item><title>Buccaneers 43, Panthers 13: Irving, Young vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-tb-at-car/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-tb-at-car/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Buccaneers 43, Panthers 13. Our sealed numbers for Irving, Mayfield, Bryce Young, Hubbard and McMillan against the box score.</description></item><item><title>Dolphins 28, Jets 25: Willis, Geno Smith vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-mia-at-nyj/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-mia-at-nyj/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Dolphins 28, Jets 25. Our sealed numbers for Willis, Geno Smith, Mason Taylor, Gordon and Garrett Wilson vs the box score.</description></item><item><title>Vikings 16, Colts 10: Taylor, Jefferson vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-ind-at-min/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-ind-at-min/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Vikings 16, Colts 10. Our sealed numbers for Taylor, Aaron Jones, Jefferson, Hockenson and Daniel Jones against the box score.</description></item><item><title>Browns 27, Titans 24: Pollard, Judkins vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-cle-at-ten/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-cle-at-ten/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Browns 27, Titans 24. Our sealed numbers for Pollard, Judkins, Watson, Fannin and Cam Ward against the box score.</description></item><item><title>Falcons 29, 49ers 20: Purdy, Penix vs Our Week 7 Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-sf-at-atl/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-sf-at-atl/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Falcons 29, 49ers 20. Our sealed numbers for Purdy, McCaffrey, Bijan Robinson, Penix and London against the box score.</description></item><item><title>Steelers 16, Saints 10: Warren, Shough vs Our Numbers</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-pit-at-no/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/final-whistle-w7-pit-at-no/</guid><pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Final Whistle, NFL Week 7: Steelers 16, Saints 10 in Paris. Our sealed numbers for Warren, Rodgers, Shough, Olave and Kamara against the box score.</description></item><item><title>Is a WR&#x27;s Season Average a Good Projection?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/wr-season-average-week-7-projection/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/wr-season-average-week-7-projection/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Jaxon Smith-Njigba averaged 27.48 a game; our Week 7 number was 21.10. See all ten top WRs in our frozen table, each under his own average.</description></item><item><title>Brock Bowers Week 8 Projection vs Season Average</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/week-8-te-projections-bowers-mcbride/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/week-8-te-projections-bowers-mcbride/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Our Week 8 numbers put Brock Bowers at 14.81 vs a 20.55 average, only 0.34 above Trey McBride. Live desk numbers, not yet sealed.</description></item><item><title>What Does the Value Gap Up-Triangle Mean in Fantasy?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/value-gap-up-triangle-meaning/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/value-gap-up-triangle-meaning/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Value Gap is our weekly number minus a player&#x27;s season average. Learn what the up and down triangles mean and why they aren&#x27;t a market read.</description></item><item><title>Tyson Bagent Week 8 Projection: Why He Tops Our Gap List</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/tyson-bagent-projection-gap/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/tyson-bagent-projection-gap/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Tyson Bagent tops our live Week 8 gap list: 8.86 vs a 4.05 average. What that means for superflex and 2QB lineups, and what it doesn&#x27;t.</description></item><item><title>Tyler Warren Week 8 Projection: 12.19 vs 13.98 Average</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/tyler-warren-week-8-projection/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/tyler-warren-week-8-projection/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Tyler Warren&#x27;s live Week 8 projection is 12.19 vs a 13.98 season average (full-PPR, not sealed). All five TEs on our card sit under their own averages.</description></item><item><title>Trey McBride Week 8 Projection: 14.47 vs 17.18 Average</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/trey-mcbride-week-8-projection/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/trey-mcbride-week-8-projection/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Our Week 8 number for Trey McBride is 14.47 against a 17.18 season average. Why it sits under his average and why that is a price, not a sit call.</description></item><item><title>Season Average vs Projection: Smith-Njigba Trade Talk</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/season-average-vs-projection-gap/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/season-average-vs-projection-gap/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Smith-Njigba averaged 27.48 entering Week 7; our sealed number was 21.10. The ten widest gaps below a season average, and how to use them.</description></item><item><title>Why is Sam LaPorta projected under his average in Week 8?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/sam-laporta-projection-under-average/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/sam-laporta-projection-under-average/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Sam LaPorta's live Week 8 number is 12.48 vs a 15.32 average. All five TEs on our card sit under theirs. Why a gap is a price, not a verdict.</description></item><item><title>Brock Purdy Week 7 Projection vs Season Average</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/purdy-week-7-qb-projections/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/purdy-week-7-qb-projections/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Brock Purdy averages 22.33 but our sealed Week 7 number is 20.56. See ten QBs, our number against each season average, and who tops the list.</description></item><item><title>Prediction Market vs Sportsbook Lines: Same Bet?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/prediction-market-vs-sportsbook-lines/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/prediction-market-vs-sportsbook-lines/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>A prediction market's 'more than 75' and a sportsbook's 'O/U 75.5' settle differently. Here's how our prop desk checks the match first.</description></item><item><title>Fantasy Points Left on Bench: What Was Your Fault?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/points-left-on-bench-fantasy/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/points-left-on-bench-fantasy/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Points left on your bench mix a catchable lineup mistake with pure hindsight. See how the split works and how the pre-lock notice helps.</description></item><item><title>Why Is a Player Missing From My Fantasy Draft Board?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/player-missing-draft-board-filter/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/player-missing-draft-board-filter/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>A filter may be hiding that player, not a rival drafter. See how the ProDraftStats board now names every active filter in its title.</description></item><item><title>Why Is Trey McBride&#x27;s Projection Under His Average?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/mcbride-projection-vs-season-average/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/mcbride-projection-vs-season-average/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Trey McBride has made our TE list four weeks running, each time projected under his season average. What a repeat name does and doesn&#x27;t tell you.</description></item><item><title>Why Your Fantasy Cheat Sheet Goes Stale After Pick One</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/live-draft-board-vs-cheat-sheet/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/live-draft-board-vs-cheat-sheet/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>A printed cheat sheet goes stale after the first pick. See how a live draft board re-prices every pick in about 30 ms.</description></item><item><title>Why Did My League Rival Add That Receiver?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/league-tape-rival-waiver-moves/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/league-tape-rival-waiver-moves/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>A league tape designed to show who added, dropped or swapped in your league, and to say plainly when no reason is on record.</description></item><item><title>Kelce Projection Under His Average: Should You Worry?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/kelce-projection-under-season-average/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/kelce-projection-under-season-average/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Our Week 8 number for Travis Kelce is 10.56 vs his 12.38 average. All five TEs project under their own averages. Live desk numbers.</description></item><item><title>Is Jahmyr Gibbs&#x27;s 30.74 Average a Real Forecast?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/gibbs-season-average-vs-projection/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/gibbs-season-average-vs-projection/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Jahmyr Gibbs averages 30.74 full-PPR points. We wrote 27.66 for Week 7. See our number against the season average for the top ten running backs.</description></item><item><title>Fantasy Risers and Fallers: Bowers Up, Mahomes Down</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/fantasy-risers-fallers-bowers-mahomes/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/fantasy-risers-fallers-bowers-mahomes/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Brock Bowers rose 2.83 and Patrick Mahomes fell 2.24 in our full-PPR numbers from Week 6 to Week 7. See all 16 biggest movers, written before kickoff.</description></item><item><title>How to Grade a Fantasy Pick: Win, Loss or Push Rule</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/fantasy-pick-scoring-receipts-rule/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/fantasy-pick-scoring-receipts-rule/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>ProDraftStats scores every pick against his season average: win, loss, or push within 1.5 points. Misses stay on the card; Week 1 2026 stays blank.</description></item><item><title>ESPN Fantasy Projections vs. ProDraftStats: Side by Side</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/espn-vs-prodraftstats-projections/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/espn-vs-prodraftstats-projections/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>See ESPN&#x27;s projection beside ours, never blended, so the gap can be checked. Ours is written down before kickoff, and the gap stays grey until it&#x27;s earned.</description></item><item><title>Fantasy Draft Value Map: See Where Tiers Break</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/draft-value-map-tiers/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/draft-value-map-tiers/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>A ranked draft list shows order, not distance. See how a value map shows tier breaks and where our board and your room disagree.</description></item><item><title>Does a Depth Chart Climb Mean a Backup Will Break Out?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/depth-chart-climbs-backup-sleepers/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/depth-chart-climbs-backup-sleepers/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>151 skill players changed depth-chart rank in 30 days; 14 climbed into the top two. Here's the count, and why we don't call it a breakout.</description></item><item><title>Week 8 Deep League Stashes: Projection vs Season Average</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/deep-league-stash-projection-gaps/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/deep-league-stash-projection-gaps/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Five deep names project 3.61 to 4.81 above their season averages in live Week 8 full-PPR desk numbers. See what the gap means and how to check usage first.</description></item><item><title>Brock Bowers Week 8 Projection: Why 14.81, Not 20.55</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/brock-bowers-week-8-projection/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/brock-bowers-week-8-projection/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>Our Week 8 number for Brock Bowers is 14.81, under his 20.55 average and still the top of five tight ends on our card. Week 8 numbers are live, not sealed.</description></item><item><title>How Far Off Is the Betting Line on Team Points?</title><link>https://prodraftstats.com/blog/betting-line-team-score-miss/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://prodraftstats.com/blog/betting-line-team-score-miss/</guid><pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate><description>The betting line misses team scores by about nine points (RMSE 8.969), so a three-point gap with it is small. Here&#x27;s how to read a gap.</description></item></channel></rss>