Green Bay sacked Young six times and built a 27-10 lead by the middle of the third quarter at Lambeau Field. Final: Green Bay Packers 27, Carolina Panthers 19.
Six of the nine players on our Thursday card beat their sealed number, and every Packer among them did. The miss that matters most is ours at the top: Bryce Young was the biggest number we posted for this game, and he finished with 10.36 full-PPR points, 8.99 under it. Matthew Golden, the questionable receiver we flagged in the preview, played, caught a touchdown and scored 20.90 against our 15.04.
Missed: Bryce Young. Our preview led with him, at 19.35 and right on his season average. Green Bay’s pass rush took that apart. Six different Packers each recorded a sack, the defense hit Young nine times, and he went 23 of 41 for 209 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper intercepted him in the second quarter, and Green Bay turned the turnover into Golden’s 24-yard touchdown for a 20-10 halftime lead. Young finished eighth of the nine players on this card.
Missed low: the Packers. Jordan Love went 30 of 41 for 288 yards and three touchdowns with one interception, and was not sacked: 21.52 against our 17.94. Tucker Kraft caught all six of his targets for 53 yards and scored Green Bay’s first touchdown from 12 yards out, 17.30 against 10.12, the second-biggest gap over our number in this game.
Missed low: Josh Jacobs, the hardest number to read. We called him the toughest projection on the card, and he cleared both our 17.65 and his 20.10 one-game average. The ground game still did not work: Green Bay ran 26 times for 66 yards, and Jacobs carried 21 times for 39. He saved his night with two short scores, a 1-yard run and a 4-yard catch, plus six receptions: 23.20.
Missed low: Chuba Hubbard. The best full-PPR line in the game came from the losing side. Hubbard ran 22 times for 81 yards with a 1-yard touchdown and caught seven of eight targets for 38 yards: 24.90 against our 17.14.
Closest call: Christian Watson. In the preview he sat furthest under his season average, 15.39 against 18.50. He finished between the two at 17.30, the nearest any player came to our number (1.91 over). It took a broken rib to get there. Watson had six catches for 100 yards when he was hurt landing on a 53-yard reception in the second quarter, left Lambeau Field in an ambulance for a scan, was cleared, and returned with 4:01 left in the third quarter. He finished with a team-high eight catches for 113 yards. A lost fumble on an earlier catch cost him two points.
Missed high: Carolina’s receivers. Tetairoa McMillan caught six of 11 targets for 58 yards, 11.80 against our 14.98. Jalen Coker scored the Panthers’ only touchdown through the air, a 26-yard catch on fourth-and-3 with 5:37 to play that cut it to 27-19; the two-point try failed. He lost a fumble on a lateral on the final play and finished at 9.60 against 13.07. Carolina is 3-4. Green Bay is 5-3.
| Player | Our sealed number | Box score | Pass pts | Rush pts | Rec pts | Other | Full-PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young (CAR QB) | 19.35 | 23/41, 209 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT; 0 car | 10.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.36 |
| Jordan Love (GB QB) | 17.94 | 30/41, 288 pass yds, 3 TD, 1 INT; 0 car | 21.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.52 |
| Josh Jacobs (GB RB) | 17.65 | 21 car, 39 yds, 1 TD; 6/6 rec-tgt, 13 yds, 1 TD | 0.00 | 9.90 | 13.30 | 0.00 | 23.20 |
| Chuba Hubbard (CAR RB) | 17.14 | 22 car, 81 yds, 1 TD; 7/8 rec-tgt, 38 yds | 0.00 | 14.10 | 10.80 | 0.00 | 24.90 |
| Christian Watson (GB WR) | 15.39 | 8/10 rec-tgt, 113 yds; 1 fumble lost | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.30 | −2.00 | 17.30 |
| Matthew Golden (GB WR) | 15.04 | 7/13 rec-tgt, 79 yds, 1 TD | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.90 | 0.00 | 20.90 |
| Tetairoa McMillan (CAR WR) | 14.98 | 6/11 rec-tgt, 58 yds | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.80 | 0.00 | 11.80 |
| Jalen Coker (CAR WR) | 13.07 | 2/5 rec-tgt, 36 yds, 1 TD; 1 fumble lost | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.60 | −2.00 | 9.60 |
| Tucker Kraft (GB TE) | 10.12 | 6/6 rec-tgt, 53 yds, 1 TD | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.30 | 0.00 | 17.30 |
Box-score stats, unofficial until the league’s final stat correction. Full-PPR: 1 point per catch, 0.1 per rushing or receiving yard, 0.04 per passing yard, 6 per rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 per passing touchdown, minus 2 per interception or lost fumble, 2 per two-point conversion. We computed each line ourselves from the box score and matched it against a second, independent box score.
Our numbers: the sealed NFL Week 8 table, frozen Tue 2026-10-27 9:07 AM ET, before the week’s first kickoff; the same table the preview quoted. Box score: ESPN game summary and the Pro-Football-Reference box score, identical on every line above. Injury and context details are from packers.com and ESPN.
Not betting or lineup advice. Projections are estimates, not guarantees.
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